Checklists
Pre-commit to running through known failure modes. The disciplined pilot beats the talented improviser under stress.
Atul Gawande wrote a book on this (The Checklist Manifesto). Munger has been preaching it for decades. The idea: in any field where the cost of forgetting a step is high, written checklists outperform memory and improvisation, even for experts.
Pilots use them. Surgeons use them. Industrial operators use them. The pattern that keeps appearing: someone with 20 years of experience still misses an obvious item once a year. The checklist catches it.
The mechanism isn't that the checklist is smarter than the expert. It's that humans are predictably bad at remembering everything under stress, in a rush, or when distracted. A piece of paper isn't.
For operators, the right places for checklists are:
- Tasks that get done occasionally but rarely (annual reviews, year-end closes, board meetings, hiring decisions)
- High-stakes tasks where a single miss is expensive (M&A diligence, regulatory filings, major launches)
- Tasks done across many people who need to do them similarly (sales calls, support tickets, code reviews)
The wrong places:
- Genuinely creative or novel work, where the checklist constrains the thinking
- Trivial tasks where the overhead of the checklist exceeds the cost of mistakes
A good checklist is short. It captures the few items most likely to be forgotten under stress, not every step. The checklist for a B2B sales call has maybe 5 items, not 50. The checklist for a deal close has maybe 10 items, not 100. If it's longer, people stop using it.
Examples in the wild
The aviation industry's safety record is largely a story about checklists. Pre-flight, pre-landing, emergency procedures. Each checklist was written after a previous crash. The lessons get embedded in paper, not in heads.
Mohnish Pabrai has openly published an investment checklist (modelled on Munger's habits). Items like "is this in my circle of competence?" and "would I be comfortable holding for 10 years?" Few investors do this. The ones who do tend to outperform.
Pre-trip packing checklists, year-end financial review checklists, annual health-check checklists. None of them are clever. All of them prevent stupid mistakes.
Checklists is one of the mental models we apply through real cases inside the Pareto MBA — a part-time program for professionals who want to think clearly about business.